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IDC expects steeper PC shipment decline

By Reuters
US, 27 Aug 2015

Research firm International Data Corporation (IDC) said it expected 2015 PC shipments to fall steeper than its earlier forecast due to a large inventory of notebooks and the impact of a strong dollar.

IDC yesterday forecast PC shipments to fall 8.7% this year, higher than its earlier estimate of a 6.2% decline.

PC shipments are expected to start growing again in 2017 led by the commercial market, with consumer shipments continuing to decline through the end of 2019, the research firm said.

IDC said it had expected the second quarter to be a transition period as vendors prepare for Windows 10 systems in the second half of the year.

The 2016 shipments are expected to be hurt by economic issues, free upgrades of Windows 10 and fewer new models.

IDC said recovery is expected to be helped by the prospect of the next refresh cycle.

The company expects total PC shipments to grow marginally in 2019 to 282.1 million from 281.6 million in 2015.

The growth is expected to be led by portable PCs such as mini notebooks, while desktop PCs would continue to decline.

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