Market analyst BMI-TechKnowledge expects the sub-Saharan PC market to reach 2.29 million units by 2006, with notebook sales showing the fastest growth.
BMI-T says in its Sub-Saharan Africa Personal Computing Forecast and Analysis 2002-2007 that PC sales in the region totalled 1 246 550 units in 2002, with a value of $1 404.36 million.
"Year-on-year, the PC market was up 3.7% in volume, boosted by heightened demand for Standard Intel Architecture System (SIAS) units, and the improved performance of the international branded vendors across the continent," says Laurika M"ller, analyst and author of the report. "Market value declined 12.4% in 2002."
BMI-T expects the sub-Saharan African PC market to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13% over the five-year forecast period. By 2006, unit shipments will top 2.29 million. The highest growth will be seen in the notebook and SIAS segments, which will increase at CAGRs of 19.1% and 18.4%, respectively.
"Vendors entering the sub-Saharan African market need to be aware that the GDP per capita is a lot lower in some countries in the region, such as Ethiopia and Mozambique, while in other countries, the low population density also affects the market for technology," says M"ller.


